Today’s MLB Player Prop Bets for May 05, 2024
The VegasInsider MLB Player Prop Picks are now available for the 2024 MLB regular season and for the campaign, we're leaning on our friends at RotoGrinders and ScoresandOdds.
Check back on a daily basis to view our MLB Player Prop Bets, or check out our overall MLB odds! Check out the latest bet365 bonus code offer before placing your bets on daily MLB action.
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MLB PLAYER PROP BETS - SUNDAY'S PROPS
Our MLB Player Prop Bets are available for Sunday, May 5 and for today's slate, we're focusing on the below matchups:
- New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:40 p.m. ET)
- Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (4:10 p.m. ET)
For the above matchups, our experts have selected MLB Player Prop Bets on the below individuals:
- Mets P Luis Severino
- Dodgers P James Paxton
Severino has been effective this year, just in a different way. He's relying on ground balls (career-high GB%) and soft contact. Severino was basically a 2-pitch pitcher in his prime, but now he's going with a wide arsenal. He is currently throwing 6 pitches at least 8% of the time. And that can work! It's just not always ideal for strikeouts. His 21.7% K% is basically league average.
Severino's swinging strike rate is down to a career-low 8.7%. His 25% CSW% is the 2nd-worst mark of his career. The slider is still a good whiff pitch, and the sweeper isn't far behind, but he's only throwing them a combined 19.6% of the time. Severino's slider is only his 4th-most used pitch.
The Rays are 12th in K% vs. RHP at 23.4%, but today's projected lineup only has a 19.5% K% against righties since the start of 2023. It should be a contact-oriented group. Severino hasn't topped 5 Ks in his last 4 starts.
DRAFTKINGSSomehow we keep getting chances to fade Paxton. I can't believe he's survived this long in the LAD rotation.
Paxton's velocity remains down on all of his pitches. He has a ghastly 15:22 K:BB. He's 12th percentile in hard-hit rate. Paxton's ERA is somehow 3.51, but his xERA is 6.19. His swinging strike rate (7.6%) and CSW% (24.6%) are both career lows, while his 13.2% K% is among the lowest in the league (6th percentile).
Atlanta picked up where they left off against lefties, hitting them hard once again. They're 15th in K% vs. LHP. It's just hard to imagine this going well for Paxton.
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What Are MLB Prop Bets?
MLB props are wagers that can be placed on individual players or events that occur during a baseball game. These bets are typically more specific than traditional bets on the outcome of the game, such as the moneyline, over-under or run-line wagers.
Some common MLB prop bets include:
- Player Props: These bets focus on individual players' performance, such as how many hits a batter will have, how many strikeouts a pitcher will record, or how many stolen bases a baserunner will attempt.
- Game & Team Props: These bets focus on specific events that could happen during a game, such as which team will score first, how many total runs will be scored, or whether there will be a home run in the first inning.
Prop bets can be a fun and exciting way to add some variety to your MLB betting. They can also be a good way to target specific players or teams that you have an edge on.
Here is an example of a MLB prop bet:
Will Aaron Judge hit a home run in today's game against the Astros?
This bet is a yes/no proposition, and the odds will depend on how likely the sportsbook thinks it is that Judge will hit a home run. If you think Judge is likely to go deep, you would bet "yes" and collect your winnings if he does hit a home run. If you think he is unlikely to hit a home run, you would bet "no" and collect your winnings if he does not hit a home run.
Prop bets can be a fun and profitable way to enjoy MLB betting. By understanding the different types of prop bets that are available, you can find bets that you are confident in and that fit your betting style.
Different Types Of MLB Prop Bets
MLB prop bets come in a variety of different types, each with its own unique appeal. Some of the most popular types of MLB prop bets include:
Player props: These bets focus on individual players' performance, such as:
- Total hits: How many hits will a player have in a game?
- Total home runs: How many home runs will a player hit in a game?
- Total runs: How many runs will a player score in a game?
- Total RBIs: How many RBIs will a player drive in in a game?
- Total strikeouts: How many strikeouts will a pitcher record in a game?
- Total walks: How many walks will a pitcher issue in a game?
Game props: These bets focus on specific events that could happen during a game, such as:
- First team to score: Which team will score the first run of the game?
- Total runs scored: How many total runs will be scored in the game?
- Home runs scored: How many home runs will be hit in the game?
- Strikeouts made: How many strikeouts will be recorded in the game?
- Double plays turned: How many double plays will be turned in the game?
Other props: These bets can be more creative and unpredictable, such as:
- Will a player hit a home run to left field?
- Will a pitcher throw a wild pitch?
- Will there be a balk called?
- Will a player strike out swinging or looking?
- Will a certain pitch be thrown during the game?
Prop bets can be a fun and exciting way to add some variety to your MLB betting. They can also be a good way to target specific players or teams that you have an edge on.
Here are some examples of creative MLB prop bets:
- Will Aaron Judge hit a home run to left field?
- Will Shohei Ohtani strike out more than 10 batters?
- Will there be a balk called in the first inning?
- Will Pete Alonso hit a home run on the first pitch of the game?
- Will Clayton Kershaw throw a complete game shutout?
Team Props
MLB team prop bets are wagers that focus on the statistical performance of a team during a game. These bets can be more specific than traditional bets on the outcome of the game, such as the moneyline or spread.
Some common MLB team prop bets include:
- Total runs scored: How many total runs will the team score in the game?
- Total hits: How many total hits will the team have in the game?
- Total home runs: How many total home runs will the team hit in the game?
- Total strikeouts: How many total strikeouts will the team record in the game?
- Will the team score first?
Team prop bets can be a fun and exciting way to add some variety to your MLB betting. They can also be a good way to target specific teams that you have an edge on.
Here are some examples of MLB team prop bets:
- Will the Yankees score more than 5 runs against the Red Sox?
- Will the Dodgers hit more home runs than the Astros?
- Will the Mets strike out more than 10 batters against the Cardinals?
- Will the Blue Jays score first against the Guardians?
Team prop bets can be a great way to add some excitement to your MLB betting. By understanding the different types of team prop bets that are available, you can find bets that you are confident in and that fit your betting style.
Bankroll Management
In the space of gambling and sports betting as a whole, bankroll management is a controversial topic. NFL props are easy to get carried away with, so keep in mind you should always bet within your means and set aside money you are comfortable losing. If you are using any Fantasy apps, set deposit limits for yourself.
A good limit would be 1% of your total worth. Take what you have and
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