Sign In $
Featured

Heat vs Celtics Game 5 Picks, Odds | NBA Playoffs Prediction

Michael Crosson
Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert
4 minute read

The 2024 NBA Playoffs continue with an excellent 2-game slate on Wednesday night -- and the first matchup of the evening we'll preview is Heat vs. Celtics Game 5, which is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

The Celtics are huge 14-point favorites on the spread in Wednesday's contest, while the total is set at over/under 199.5 total points at DraftKings.

Here's everything you need to know about Game 5 of Heat vs Celtics -- the latest betting odds, as well as our expert picks and prediction for the NBA Playoffs on Wednesday, May 1.

Heat vs Celtics Odds

MIA @ BOS Odds

  • Full Game
  • 1H
  • 1Q
  • 2Q
  • 3Q
  • 4Q
  • Spread
  • Total
  • Moneyline
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
+13.5 -108 +8.5 -110 +8.5 -114 +8.5 -115 +8.5 -120 +8.5 -110 +8.5 -120 +7.5 -105 +13.5 -108  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
-13.5 -112 -8.5 -110 -8.5 -106 -8.5 -105 -8.5 -110 -8.5 -110 -8.5 -110 -7.5 -121 -13.5 -112  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
o200.5 -110 o103 -110 o103 -114 N/A o102.5 -125 o103 -110 o102.5 -125 o103.5 -112 o201.5 -112  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
u200.5 -110 u103 -110 u103 -106 N/A u102.5 -105 u103 -110 u102.5 -105 u103.5 -117 u201.5 -108  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
+730 N/A +340 +360 +320 +330 N/A +390 +660  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
-1150 N/A -470 -500 -650 -425 N/A -590 -1000  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
+13.5 -108 +1.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A +6.5 -109 +13.5 -108  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
-13.5 -112 -1.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -6.5 -120 -13.5 -112  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
o200.5 -110 o97.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A o97.5 -121 o201.5 -112  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
u200.5 -110 u97.5 -110 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A u97.5 -110 u201.5 -108  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
+730 N/A +225 N/A N/A N/A N/A +265 +660  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
-1150 N/A -290 N/A N/A N/A N/A -360 -1000  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
+13.5 -108 +4.5 -110 +4.5 -112 +4.5 -110 +4.5 -115 +4.5 -110 +4.5 -115 +4.5 -122 +13.5 -108  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
-13.5 -112 -4.5 -110 -4.5 -108 -4.5 -110 -4.5 -115 -4.5 -110 -4.5 -115 -4.5 -105 -13.5 -112  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
o200.5 -110 o51.5 -110 o51.5 -106 N/A N/A o51.5 -108 o51.5 -110 o51.5 -108 o201.5 -112  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
u200.5 -110 u51.5 -110 u51.5 -120 N/A N/A u51.5 -112 u51.5 -120 u51.5 -120 u201.5 -108  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
+730 N/A +235 +250 +260 +240 N/A +260 +660  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
-1150 N/A -300 -350 -375 -298 N/A -360 -1000  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
+13.5 -108 +4 -115 +4.5 -122 N/A +3.5 -110 +4 -108 +3.5 -110 +4.5 -124 +13.5 -108  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
-13.5 -112 -4 -115 -4.5 -100 N/A -3.5 -120 -4 -112 -3.5 -120 -4.5 -105 -13.5 -112  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
o200.5 -110 o51 -115 o51.5 -118 N/A N/A o51.5 -112 o52.5 even o52.5 -106 o201.5 -112  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
u200.5 -110 u51 -115 u51.5 -108 N/A N/A u51.5 -108 u52.5 -125 u52.5 -125 u201.5 -108  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
+730 N/A +220 N/A N/A +210 N/A +220 +660  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
-1150 N/A -280 N/A N/A -258 N/A -295 -1000  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
+13.5 -108 +3 -115 +3.5 -105 N/A +3.5 -105 +3.5 -105 +3.5 even +3.5 -103 +13.5 -108  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
-13.5 -112 -3 -115 -3.5 -115 N/A -3.5 -125 -3.5 -115 -3.5 -125 -3.5 -125 -13.5 -112  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
o200.5 -110 o49 -115 o49.5 -111 N/A N/A o49.5 -115 o49.5 -110 o48.5 -124 o201.5 -112  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
u200.5 -110 u49 -115 u49.5 -115 N/A N/A u49.5 -105 u49.5 -120 u48.5 -107 u201.5 -108  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
+730 N/A +198 N/A N/A +195 N/A +215 +660  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
-1150 N/A -250 N/A N/A -238 N/A -286 -1000  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
+13.5 -108 +2.5 -115 +1.5 +106 N/A +1.5 even +2.5 -115 +2.5 -125 +3.5 -124 +13.5 -108  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
-13.5 -112 -2.5 -115 -1.5 -130 N/A -1.5 -130 -2.5 -105 -2.5 even -3.5 -105 -13.5 -112  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
o200.5 -110 o49 -115 o48.5 -113 N/A N/A o48.5 -110 o47.5 -110 o48.5 -124 o201.5 -112  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
u200.5 -110 u49 -115 u48.5 -113 N/A N/A u48.5 -110 u47.5 -110 u48.5 -108 u201.5 -108  
Final
Miami Heat 501 Heat
+730 N/A +148 N/A +150 +150 N/A +160 +660  
Boston Celtics 502 Celtics
-1150 N/A -184 N/A -190 -180 N/A -210 -1000  

Maximize your NBA action with our DraftKings promo code.

Heat vs Celtics Picks & Prediction

Boston is a unique beast when it comes to 3-point shooting. The Celtics are the most efficient team in the NBA from beyond the arc. They lead the entire league in 3-point attempts per game (42.5), and they knock them down at the second-best clip (38.8%).

However, as Wayne Gretzky once said, “you miss 100% of the shots you don’t take,” and that was clearly Miami’s mantra out of the gate against Boston. Instead of consistently working the ball inside and looking for high-percentage shots like we’re used to seeing from them, the Heat were content leaving their fate up to the basketball gods (aka 3-point variance) in the first two games of this series, which bred very mixed results, as they lost Game 1 by 20 (114-94) and won Game 2 by 10 (111-101).

However, the Heat rank 18th in 3-point attempts per game (33.7). So after rolling into Boston for the first round of the playoffs and stealing a win by jacking up a total of 80 shots from 3-point territory in the first two games of the series, the Heat decided to test the waters a little bit with their own style of play at home –  Game 3: 28 3-point attempts, Game 4: 33 3-point attempts – and Boston shut it down emphatically on both occasions, resulting in a point differential of -34 in a pair of ugly losses.

On the bright side for the Heat, it might be for the best moving forward. Miami is thoroughly outmatched in this series, especially in the absence of Jimmy Butler and Terry Rozier – and for a brief moment, after splitting the first two games on the road in Boston, the Heat tricked themselves into thinking they had enough juice to head home and win Game 3 or 4 without trying to draw an outlier result in 3-point variance on offense, and clearly that was a mistake.

Miami needs a perfect storm in order to compete against Boston game-to-game, and they got one in Game 2 as the Celtics shot just 12-of-32 from 3-point range, while the Heat drilled 23-of-43 (53.5%). But fortunately for Miami, the Celtics naturally set the stage for a perfect storm to occur by turning pretty much every game into a 3-point shootout. 

The Heat shot just 18-of-61 (29.5%) from long range at home in Games 3 and 4. But on the road in Games 1 and 2, they knocked down 35-of-80 (43.7%) 3-point attempts, and Game 5 will be played in Boston, for what it’s worth.

Don’t get me wrong, this series is over – and it ended when Jimmy Butler went down with a knee sprain in the Play-In Tournament against the Sixers. However, if we know anything about the current iteration of this Heat team, it’s that they are pesky and annoying, and they never go down without a fight. They continue to win games long after it seems like the final nail has been hammered into the coffin, and at this very point in time, it seems like they may be due for another positive swing in 3-point variance after shooting 54% in Game 2, and then below 33% in Games 1, 3, and 4.

Pick: Heat +14 (-110)

Click this link for picks and predictions for all First Round NBA Playoff matchups!

Heat vs Celtics Game Time & TV Channel

Date: Wednesday, May 1
Matchup: Atlantic vs Southeast
Venue: TD Garden
Location: Boston, MA
Time-TV: TNT, 7:30 p.m. ET

Heat vs Celtics Betting Stats

1) Boston Celtics
(1st Place, Atlantic)

  • Odds to Win Finals: +120
  • Odds to Win Conference: -230
  • Odds to Win Series: -100000
  • SU: 64-18
  • ATS: 43-38-1
  • O/U: 37-44-1
  • PPG: 120.6
  • OPPG: 109.2

Click this link for the latest betting trends and market movements leading up to the NBA Finals!

8) Miami Heat
(2nd Place, Southeast)

  • Odds To Win Finals: +100000
  • Odds to Win Conference: +50000
  • Odds to Win Series: +10000
  • SU: 46-36
  • ATS: 41-41
  • O/U: 43-39
  • PPG: 110.1
  • OPPG: 108.4

NBA Playoffs Betting Resources

Nba News

Featured News

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson
•